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How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everyone, by William Poundstone
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We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase 'winning streaks' that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be. In the 1970s, daniel kahneman and amos tversky coined the phrase 'representativeness' to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You'll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office premier league sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.
- Sales Rank: #1245079 in Books
- Published on: 2014-09-04
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 8.86" h x .85" w x 5.75" l, .92 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
Most helpful customer reviews
0 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Not a book I would recommend to others
By R. Q.
Its ok. Not impressed at all. Not a book I would recommend to others.
3 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
partly predictable
By Grzegorz Pochwatko
first half - very interesting, second - seems the author got tired, but globally worth reading:)
0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By William Robert Coan II
I've applied a lot of the tools from this book into my professional life.
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